Swiss Banks Hurt by Italian Tax Amnesty

Tax Analysts, January 19, 2010
Swiss banks have suffered a large outflow of assets as a result of the ongoing Italian tax amnesty.
Switzerland's three largest wealth management banks, UBS AG, Credit Suisse Group AG, and Julius Baer Group, may have lost as much as CHF 18 billion (about $17.7 billion) to the ongoing Italian tax amnesty, according to media reports.
The Italian amnesty, which allows taxpayers to declare offshore assets and pay a one-time fine, was originally scheduled to end on December 15, 2009, but has been extended to April 30, 2010. (For prior coverage, see Doc 2009-27696  or 2009 WTD 241-5 .)
The fine for those who came clean by December 15, 2009, was 5 percent of the total assets. The fine increases to 6 percent for those who report by February 28, 2010, and will rise to 7 percent for those who report by April 30.
Also, Italian taxpayers had to remove their assets from Swiss banks and return them to Italy to qualify for the amnesty as long as Switzerland remained on the OECD's gray list. However, Switzerland was removed from the gray list on September 25, 2009; therefore, taxpayers have, since that date, been able to leave the assets in Swiss banks once declared. (For prior coverage of Switzerland's removal from the gray list, see Doc 2009-21372  or 2009 WTD 185-1 .)
Clients withdrew between CHF 3 billion and CHF 7 billion from UBS and Credit Suisse, while Julius Baer saw between CHF 1 billion and CHF 4 billion head south, according to Huw van Steenis, a Morgan Stanley analyst quoted in a January 15 Bloomberg.com report.
"The Italian tax amnesty has been slightly more successful than the market first thought," Steenis said.
The banks are now scrambling to maintain deposits, with UBS reportedly losing a total of CHF 182.9 billion (about $180 billion) over the last 18 months. "Although one-off effects such as tax amnesties are unavoidable, we ourselves must not give clients any reason to leave the bank," said UBS CEO Oswald Gruebel, according to the Bloomberg.com report.
Morgan Stanley estimates that Swiss banks in total retained about 65 percent of the declared Italian assets, reflecting a bump up in reporting as the end of the amnesty loomed and after Switzerland migrated from the OECD gray list.
Julius Baer retained about 60 percent of its Italian clients who participated in the amnesty and hopes to win back at least half of the 40 percent it lost, according to CEO Boris Collardi, as reported in December in the Swiss newspaper Sonntag.

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